WinRats時間序列分析軟體(Regression Analysis of Time Series)
可搭配 CATS (Cointegration Analysis of Time Series) 模組,透過一連串的對話方塊,進行學業界最先進複雜的共整合分析,甚至可進行I(2)模型分析。可進行向量與矩陣運算。並提供程式語言,使用者可以自訂最符合自己需求的運算程式。
支援完整的計量模型,包括ordinary、weighted和generalized least squares (GLS),seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR),非線性迴歸,vector autoregressions (VAR’s),ARIMA,GMM,2SLS,3SLS,ARCH和GARCH等,可直接取用Haver Analytics DLX資料庫,並可以處理所有資料,包括panel data
- 包含interactive mode和batch mode兩種執行模式
- 可繪製輸出最專業的高品質時間序列散佈圖
- 新的互動程式語言甚至可以自訂功能表和對話方塊
計量經濟學和數據管理
RATS提供您期望的所有基礎知識,包括線性和非線性最小二乘法,預測,SUR和ARIMA模型。但它遠遠超出了這一點,支持GMM,ARCH和GARCH模型,狀態空間模型等技術。RATS還為Vector Autoregression模型提供無與倫比的支持,是少數提供光譜分析功能的程式之一。
RATS可以處理幾乎任何頻率的時間序列,包括每日和每週,以及面板和橫截面數據。
功能表驅動的數據嚮導以及對各種文本,電子表格和數據庫文件格式的支持使您可以輕鬆地將數據導入RATS。我們的專業版增加了對更多數據庫格式的支持,包括SQL / ODBC數據訪問,以獲得更大的靈活性。
RATS編輯器
我們的交互式RATS編輯器環境允許您快速實施計量經濟分析任務,並且無需重新運行整個程式即可輕鬆嘗試不同的模型規範或技術。
您可以將您的工作保存為RATS程式,只需點擊幾下滑鼠即可隨時重現您的結果。
點擊嚮導
該編輯器還提供40多個功能表驅動的嚮導,提供對大多數常見任務的點擊訪問,包括讀取數據,顯示圖形,進行轉換,估計各種模型以及假設測試。這些有助於使RATS成為新用戶和教育環境中使用的理想工具。
使用嚮導時,RATS會在編輯器窗口中顯示相應的命令,以便您可以通過使用嚮導實際學習RATS語言。這也允許您使用嚮導構建可以在以後重新執行的完整程式。
計量經濟學研究中經常被忽視的一個方面是確保准確報告結果。RATS通過強大的報告生成功能解決了這一問題,可快速生成準確的報告表格,您可以將其導出為文本或電子表格文件,以便直接包含在論文和演示文稿中。
WinRats Professional 版本除了原有的RATS功能外,多增加X11季節性調整(Seasonal Adjustment) 的功能,其特色為:
- Adjusts both quarterly and monthly data
- Options for trading day and holiday adjustments
- Graduated extremes options for handling outliers
- Can easily adjust large numbers of series
Statistical Methods
Estimation Techniques
- Multiple regressions including stepwise
- Regression with autoregressive errors
- Heteroscedasticity/serial-correlation correction, including Newey-West
- Non-linear least squares
- Two-stage least squares for linear, non-linear, and autocorrelated models
- Seemingly unrelated regressions and three-stage least squares
- Non-linear systems estimation
- Generalized Method of Moments
- Maximum likelihood estimation
- Constrained optimization
- Extensive built-in hypothesis testing capabilities.
- Pre-written procedures for a huge variety of other tests, including unit-root, stability, and much more
- Limited and discrete dependent variable models: logit, probit, censored/truncated (Tobit), count models
- Panel data support, including fixed and random effects estimators
- Non-parametric regressions
- Kernel density estimation
- Robust estimation
- Recursive least squares
- State-space models, including Kalman filtering and smoothing, simulations, and optimal control models
- Neural network models
- Linear and quadratic programming
- Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models
Time Series Procedures
- Easy to specify lags and leads for time-series model estimation and analysis
- ARIMA and ARMAX models including multiplicative seasonal models; support for arbitrary lag structures
- Transfer function/intervention models
- Error correction models
- Kalman filter
- Spectral analysis
Forecasting
- Time series models
- Regression models
- Exponential smoothing
- Static or dynamic forecasts
- Simultaneous equation models (unlimited number of equations)
- Simulations with random or user-supplied shocks
- Forecast performance statistics, including Theil U statistics
Vector Autoregressions (VARs)
- Unmatched support for VAR models
- Error Correction models
- Structural VARs. Choice of factorizations, including estimating a factor matrix from a covariance matrix model
- Impulse responses, with Monte Carlo and Importance Sampling techniques for standard error bands.
- Forecasting
- Variance decomposition
- Historical decomposition
- Extensive hypothesis testing tools
- CATS 2.0 add-on provides industry-leading cointegration analysis
ARCH and GARCH Models
- Univariate and multivariate, including BEKK, diagonal, CC, DCC, and Vech multivariate models
- Support for GARCH-in-mean models
- Additional exogenous variables in mean and/or variance equations
- Normal, t and GED distributions
- Exponential and Asymmetric models
- Robust standard errors
Working With Data
Data Entry
- Menu-driven Data Wizards for reading in data
- Reads and writes Excel® files (including Excel 2007), text files, Stata®, Eviews®, Matlab®, Haver databases, and other formats
- Pro version supports SQL/ODBC access, online access to the FRED® database, CRSP® data, and more
- On-screen data viewer and editor, with point-and-click graphing and statistics tools
- Can handle virtually any data frequency, including daily, weekly, intra-day, and panel data
- Can automatically compact or expand data to different frequencies
- RATS data file format is fast and easy, supports all frequencies, and allows you to store series of different frequencies on the same file
Data Transformations
- Flexible transformations with algebraic formulas
- Easy to create trend series, seasonal, and time period dummies
- Extensive filtering operations, including Hodrick-Prescott, Henderson, Spencer, and custom filters
- Supports regular, seasonal, and fractional differencing
Graphics
- Time series graphics
- X-Y scatter plots
- Dual-scale graphs
- Box plots
- Contour graphs
- Ability to arrange multiple graphs on a single page
- Copy-and-paste graphs into other applications
- Export graphs to many formats, including PostScript and Windows Metafile
- User can customize attributes such as line thickness, colors and grayscale levels, and fill patterns
Interface
Interactive Mode Environment
- Text-editor based
- Point-and-click "wizards" for many tasks, greatly enhancing ease-of-use
- Saved programs can be re-run with just a few mouse clicks
- Designed so that you can reproduce results, output, and graphs easily and accurately (a critical but often overlooked requirement for producing reliable, publication-quality results)
- True multiple window support. Simultaneously view your input commands and output, spreadsheet-style "report" windows, graphs, and more
Programmability
- Extensive looping capabilities and support for applying operations to lists of variables make it possible to automate many repetitive tasks
- You can write procedures, which can perform complex tasks with a single instruction, and write your own callable functions.
- A library of procedures written by RATS users from around the world is available free of charge on our web site
- A variety of interface-related instructions allow you to create your own drop-down menus, custom dialog boxes, and more
Report Capabilities
- Strong focus on making it easy to get results easily and accurately into documents or other applications.
- Tables of output can be viewed in Report Windows, for easy exporting or copying-and-pasting into other applications.
- Powerful report-generation features for constructing and exporting your own tables of information.
- Easy control over displayed precision in output
- TeX: Support for exporting TeX tables
RATS Professional
The Professional level of RATS adds the following features not found in the Standard level:
- Support for reading databases via ODBC/SQL
- Census Bureau X12-ARIMA seasonal adjustment routine
- Support for FAME data files (for Windows and unix/linux)
- Support for CRSP data files
- Online access to the FRED database
System Requirements for WinRATS
WinRATS runs on all recent versions of Windows, including Windows 10, 8, 7, Vista, and XP, in either 32-bit or 64-bit. Here are the minimum system requirements:
- A PC with a Pentium or later processor
- Memory requirements will depend largely on the size of the data sets you need to work with. You will need approximately 1 Megabyte of RAM for every 128,000 data points. The RATS program itself is fairly compact, and only requires about 1 Megabyte of RAM to load.
- A hard disk drive with at least 200Mb of free disk space (for a full installation, including all examples, procedures, and documentation)
- Windows 10, 8, 7, Vista or XP
System Requirements for MacRATS
MacRATS requires requires version 10.14 (Mojave) or later of OS X. It has been tested with all OS X upgrades through Ventura (13.3).
- Any Macintosh capable of running OS X 10.14 or later.
- OS X 10.14 or later
- Memory requirements will depend largely on the size of the data sets you need to work with. You will need approximately 1 Megabyte of memory for every 128,000 data points. The RATS program itself is fairly compact, and only requires about 1 Megabyte of memory to load.
- Free storage of at least 250Mb (for a full installation, including all examples, procedures, and documentation)
CATS(時間序列協整分析)是一套配合RATS軟體進行協整分析的程式,是由Henrik Hansen和Katarina Juselius編寫的,也是Johansen, Juselius和Hansen的研究成果。
CATS套包包括一片CD,包含CATS程式和200頁的用戶使用手冊。手冊描述了計量經濟學的協整-VAR模型,及解釋如何運行CATS和輸出,同樣的數據也包含在使用在手冊中,以用來引導用戶了解該程式的功能。
CATS提供了大量的工具來分析您的數據,選擇和檢驗一個協整模型。程式基本上可以全部通過選單和對話框來操作,您只需要簡單的創建一個文件,用來定義您的數據和樣本週期,然後執行CATS程式,並在RATS中運行這個文件。從那裡開始,您從CATS選單中選擇期望的操作,然後CATS會提示您進行必要的輸入。
RATS的附加模組,可做cointegration analysis、multivariate tests of long-run exclusion、weak exogeneity and stationarity on all variables in model計算eigenvalues、 lambda-max、trace statistics、執行recursive cointegration analysis and structural tests,包含descriptive statistics
注意:要使用CATS,您必須已經安裝RATS 6.2或更高的版本。